What should be included when presenting forecast ranges?

• A. Present ranges, scenario analyses, clearly label assumptions, cite sources and confidence levels
• B. Provide a single precise forecast without caveats
• C. Ignore sources
• D. Avoid scenario analyses

Answer: (A)

Presenting forecast ranges hinges on communicating uncertainty and the conditions behind the numbers. Rather than a single point estimate, you show a range to reflect possible outcomes. Including scenario analyses lets readers see how results could change under different conditions, such as favorable, base, or unfavorable environments. Clearly labeling assumptions makes the forecast transparent—showing what inputs, methods, and rules were used. Citing sources backs up the data and methods, while confidence levels convey how certain you are about the range and where the likelihood lies.

Why this approach fits best: it provides a credible, navigable view of risk and variability, rather than a potentially misleading precise figure. A single precise forecast without caveats ignores uncertainty. Skipping sources undermines trust, and avoiding scenario analyses leaves readers without a sense of how outcomes could shift.